Race 10C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 11.3% 12.5% 12.6% 12.4% 9.3% 12.1% 8.0% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Nicholas Arabia 9.6% 8.1% 9.9% 11.1% 10.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.0% 9.1% 6.5% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Christopher Ford 11.9% 11.1% 11.6% 12.2% 11.2% 9.8% 10.6% 6.8% 6.5% 4.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Thomas Gallagher 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 4.2% 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 9.1% 11.8% 11.6% 13.9% 7.2%
Mackenzie Needham 7.4% 6.8% 8.9% 7.8% 9.7% 6.9% 8.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.7% 7.4% 5.5% 1.8%
Christopher Jensen 7.9% 7.5% 7.4% 8.7% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 7.9% 6.7% 5.2% 1.6%
Bennett Capozzi 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 9.1% 9.4% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 8.2% 7.3% 5.5% 3.0% 0.9%
MacKenzie MacRae 2.5% 3.7% 3.1% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% 8.7% 8.0% 10.0% 14.9% 15.5% 17.0%
Reid Secondo 4.4% 4.8% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 6.5%
Peter Kerby-Miller 2.3% 3.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.9% 3.4% 6.0% 5.1% 8.9% 8.9% 13.3% 17.5% 22.0%
Peter Christensen 6.0% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 10.2% 8.8% 8.3% 4.7% 2.6%
Zachary Karakouzian 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 8.1% 10.7% 17.6% 39.0%
OJ O'Connell 23.1% 20.0% 15.3% 13.0% 9.5% 7.9% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.