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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+6.36vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+4.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+2.67vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93-0.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+1.88vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.44vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+1.63vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-6.06vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-3.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.65-0.42vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.08-6.84vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.76-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Old Dominion University1.816.9%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.479.4%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.998.9%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University2.9315.0%1st Place
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6.04Connecticut College2.2910.2%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.104.2%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College1.604.5%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.0%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.9213.9%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University0.650.9%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College2.086.9%1st Place
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11.29Northwestern University0.762.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| John Ped | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 25.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Carter Brock | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 40.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Will Davies | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.