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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+5.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+5.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+4.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.60+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99-0.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93-3.20vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81-1.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-4.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-3.95vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.76-0.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.65-0.70vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-5.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Connecticut College2.299.6%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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4.92Yale University2.9214.5%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.6%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College1.603.9%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.103.3%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University1.998.6%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University2.9315.7%1st Place
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7.4Old Dominion University1.817.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.479.9%1st Place
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7.05Bowdoin College2.087.0%1st Place
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11.43Northwestern University0.761.9%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University0.651.9%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Davies | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| Carter Brock | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 37.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.