Race 11C

greater-boston-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
OJ O'Connell 24.8% 20.9% 15.6% 11.9% 10.5% 6.8% 4.0% 2.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bennett Capozzi 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 11.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Henry Dumke 11.7% 14.5% 12.1% 11.3% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 7.3% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 4.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 8.3% 8.4% 10.2% 9.7% 10.4% 11.1% 10.7% 5.5% 0.9%
Emmett Weeks 7.1% 5.8% 7.3% 8.8% 8.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.1% 10.5% 9.9% 9.7% 5.1% 0.3%
Thomas Gallagher 4.4% 4.9% 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 8.8% 7.1% 8.5% 12.7% 13.2% 11.9% 10.1% 1.2%
Mackenzie Needham 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 10.1% 11.7% 9.0% 5.4% 3.5% 0.5%
Peter Christensen 6.3% 7.9% 7.9% 6.9% 9.5% 8.8% 9.1% 12.9% 9.7% 10.0% 7.0% 3.8% 0.2%
Christopher Jensen 8.2% 6.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.6% 10.9% 9.2% 8.3% 7.4% 2.8% 0.4%
Christopher Ford 13.2% 12.3% 12.0% 14.4% 10.2% 8.3% 9.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Paige Fagan 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 4.2% 3.9% 5.6% 6.4% 10.3% 17.4% 31.4% 10.4%
Peter Kerby-Miller 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 3.6% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 11.8% 19.1% 25.4% 5.2%
Alison Maas 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 9.6% 80.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.