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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.10+8.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.50vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.80vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+3.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99-0.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.65vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+1.70vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.42-3.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-4.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-6.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.65-1.44vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.76-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.103.4%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College1.604.5%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.4711.2%1st Place
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4.78Stanford University2.9315.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.9213.1%1st Place
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6.57Tufts University1.998.4%1st Place
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7.01Bowdoin College2.088.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.2%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.427.8%1st Place
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7.55Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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6.06Connecticut College2.299.6%1st Place
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12.56Northeastern University0.651.1%1st Place
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11.21Northwestern University0.761.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| John Ped | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 23.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carter Brock | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 39.5% |
| Will Davies | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.