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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+5.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+4.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+0.35vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49+1.93vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+1.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07+1.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-2.03vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.72+0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85-4.02vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.45-1.13vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.15-1.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.00-4.50vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.87Bates College1.450.0%1st Place
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9.53Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.76University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 24.4% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Ford | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 6.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Camilla Nivison | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.