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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.99+5.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+3.03vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+4.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.05vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+0.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+2.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29-0.76vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.46vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.42-3.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.24-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.58-4.12vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Tufts University1.998.2%1st Place
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5.03Stanford University2.9313.9%1st Place
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7.6Old Dominion University1.816.7%1st Place
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5.05Yale University2.9214.2%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.4710.6%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College1.605.1%1st Place
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6.24Connecticut College2.298.3%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.086.6%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.104.2%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.426.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.242.9%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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11.15Northwestern University0.772.0%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University1.321.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| John Ped | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 23.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.