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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+5.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+4.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.14vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+4.80vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+0.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08-0.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.25vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-4.09vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-3.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-3.04vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Connecticut College2.299.2%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University1.997.6%1st Place
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5.14Yale University2.9213.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College1.605.5%1st Place
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4.91Stanford University2.9315.6%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.103.6%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University2.426.6%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.086.6%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.7%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.4710.1%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University1.816.4%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont1.584.8%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.243.2%1st Place
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11.25Northwestern University0.771.9%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 24.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.