Race 1A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 19.4% 16.2% 17.5% 13.9% 11.1% 7.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 11.7% 13.6% 12.8% 14.1% 11.0% 10.7% 9.1% 6.2% 6.2% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 3.9% 3.4% 4.8% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 10.1% 11.6% 11.5% 11.4% 11.7% 9.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 14.9% 12.9% 15.3% 12.7% 11.5% 9.0% 8.3% 6.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.5% 19.9% 14.0% 11.4% 11.6% 10.1% 5.7% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.2% 10.1% 9.0% 11.9% 10.1% 10.7% 7.2% 6.3% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 7.6% 10.3% 12.8% 16.4% 19.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 9.9% 10.7% 12.3% 15.1% 19.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Casey Brown 5.2% 5.7% 5.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 10.3% 9.1% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 5.9% 5.1% 4.2% 6.1% 6.6% 8.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.7% 11.7% 9.7% 10.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 10.6% 11.4% 12.3% 12.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.3% 7.8% 9.1% 8.7% 14.2% 15.7% 17.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 9.9% 10.7% 12.3% 15.1% 19.1% 0.2% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 98.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.