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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.94+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+0.44vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36+0.78vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.53+1.00vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.18-0.49vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.01-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.21-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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2.44University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
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3.78Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.51Michigan Technological University0.180.0%1st Place
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6.9Hope College-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
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2.56University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Cummins | 20.2% | 21.7% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Kinzel | 30.0% | 27.5% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 11.5% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| John Hodges | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 25.1% | 24.3% | 13.4% | 5.0% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 20.1% | 27.5% | 22.3% | 7.8% |
| Marian Schubert | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 15.2% | 27.9% | 44.3% |
| Glen Ko | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 30.8% | 42.2% |
| Braden Solum | 29.1% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.