Race 2A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Casey Brown 5.6% 4.5% 6.5% 8.0% 9.0% 8.4% 10.5% 10.3% 11.1% 10.5% 8.8% 6.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 13.1% 14.5% 13.7% 13.9% 13.6% 9.3% 7.2% 6.3% 4.8% 1.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.2% 17.4% 16.4% 11.3% 11.5% 9.2% 7.0% 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 19.6% 17.5% 15.3% 14.0% 11.1% 8.1% 6.1% 5.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 5.1% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 10.4% 8.9% 10.7% 10.8% 12.6% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.4% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 7.7% 7.6% 8.0% 12.3% 11.6% 15.6% 15.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 15.0% 12.5% 11.6% 13.0% 11.6% 9.8% 9.6% 6.8% 5.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 6.3% 7.9% 8.0% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 12.1% 10.1% 11.6% 7.7% 5.8% 4.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 5.7% 5.8% 9.2% 10.2% 13.8% 14.0% 21.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.4% 6.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 11.3% 11.8% 8.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.5% 5.1% 7.5% 6.5% 11.6% 8.4% 14.1% 13.9% 18.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 5.7% 5.8% 9.2% 10.2% 13.8% 14.0% 21.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 3.0% 3.7% 5.3% 5.8% 5.2% 7.6% 7.8% 9.4% 11.0% 13.1% 13.7% 14.1% 0.3% 0.0%
A A 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 98.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.