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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+5.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+4.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+4.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+0.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.01vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+2.87vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.16vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-2.89vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-2.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.32-1.00vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.75vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Connecticut College2.2910.3%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University1.998.2%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University1.816.9%1st Place
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4.92Stanford University2.9313.8%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.9214.5%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College1.603.2%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.426.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.479.2%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.086.8%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont1.584.5%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.244.3%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University1.321.4%1st Place
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11.25Northwestern University0.771.9%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 35.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 24.6% |
| John Ped | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.