Race 3A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 12.6% 13.5% 13.3% 12.3% 12.4% 11.3% 7.4% 6.7% 4.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 10.7% 10.9% 14.2% 14.4% 15.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 2.7% 3.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.3% 8.3% 8.9% 9.2% 12.2% 13.6% 12.5% 12.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Casey Brown 5.6% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 8.7% 9.7% 10.9% 10.4% 11.0% 9.9% 9.4% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 14.6% 15.2% 14.1% 12.0% 12.0% 9.2% 9.4% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 19.9% 18.6% 16.1% 12.5% 10.9% 8.0% 5.3% 4.7% 1.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.7% 16.9% 15.3% 13.7% 10.7% 9.3% 6.1% 3.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 11.1% 7.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 6.3% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 14.8% 22.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 9.3% 10.2% 11.1% 11.4% 11.2% 10.1% 0.3% 0.0%
John Machum 6.7% 7.5% 8.2% 10.3% 8.8% 10.8% 12.1% 9.7% 9.5% 7.4% 6.0% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 4.5% 5.9% 7.8% 7.4% 9.9% 11.3% 17.2% 22.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 6.3% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 14.8% 22.1% 0.2% 0.0%
A A 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 98.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.