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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+4.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.08+2.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.24+3.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58-0.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.28vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81-3.27vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.60-3.33vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-6.27vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32-2.13vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.77-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Stanford University2.9313.8%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.4710.2%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.426.2%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.9212.2%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.088.1%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.243.2%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College2.299.2%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.103.6%1st Place
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8.73University of Vermont1.584.9%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.5%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University1.816.6%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College1.604.9%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.998.4%1st Place
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11.87Salve Regina University1.322.3%1st Place
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11.33Northwestern University0.772.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 34.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.