Race 4A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 18.4% 18.4% 16.7% 13.1% 12.2% 7.6% 6.2% 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 7.3% 5.5% 8.4% 8.5% 10.3% 11.3% 9.6% 10.3% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 6.3% 6.3% 8.1% 8.3% 10.4% 11.6% 13.0% 12.8% 12.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.0% 17.8% 15.1% 12.6% 11.0% 8.5% 8.1% 3.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.2% 6.9% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 9.2% 9.8% 11.0% 11.0% 9.2% 8.5% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 4.2% 5.7% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 9.5% 13.3% 11.5% 11.6% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 15.5% 15.0% 12.8% 11.7% 11.6% 10.8% 8.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 4.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.7% 13.6% 15.0% 18.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.6% 4.1% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 9.2% 8.0% 14.1% 15.0% 22.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 13.3% 12.4% 14.3% 13.2% 10.5% 9.5% 9.2% 6.6% 4.8% 3.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.3% 3.7% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.6% 11.7% 10.7% 13.3% 14.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 8.5% 10.1% 11.0% 12.6% 11.1% 10.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 4.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.2% 10.7% 13.6% 15.0% 18.9% 0.2% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 98.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.