Race 11A

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 14.8% 13.0% 12.2% 10.9% 9.7% 9.0% 6.8% 6.2% 4.9% 5.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Jack Parkin 15.2% 13.2% 12.7% 10.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.3% 6.5% 5.7% 3.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Spencer Cartwright 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 5.7% 4.7% 1.9%
Alex Bowdler 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 3.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.8% 5.2% 7.0% 9.9% 18.1% 32.6%
John Ped 4.2% 4.7% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.5% 6.9% 4.8%
Christopher Lukens 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 9.3% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 4.0% 3.1% 1.4%
Eli Burnes 10.4% 10.3% 9.7% 9.5% 9.8% 8.6% 8.1% 7.0% 6.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Aidan naughton 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 10.0% 10.9% 8.6% 7.5%
Noyl Odom 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.0% 2.3%
Connell Phillipps 3.8% 5.1% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 10.1% 9.0% 6.6%
Thomas Whittemore 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 7.7% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Caleb Niles 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 5.1% 6.7% 6.2% 8.1% 10.3% 10.9% 14.0% 9.8%
Samuel Merson 8.0% 8.2% 9.4% 7.4% 7.8% 9.3% 7.5% 9.3% 6.5% 6.4% 6.8% 5.3% 4.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Lillian Nemeth 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 11.9% 15.0% 25.4%
Taylor Eastman 3.6% 5.7% 4.8% 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 7.0% 5.9% 7.1% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.8% 8.7% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.