Race 5A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 13.7% 12.4% 14.2% 11.9% 13.3% 10.5% 8.2% 8.0% 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 15.2% 13.4% 14.4% 14.8% 11.6% 10.7% 6.8% 6.3% 3.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 4.4% 4.5% 7.1% 8.7% 9.0% 10.0% 11.8% 10.9% 12.9% 9.7% 8.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 18.6% 17.5% 15.6% 13.9% 11.0% 9.8% 4.9% 5.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.3% 20.0% 15.1% 12.0% 10.7% 9.7% 6.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 6.9% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 11.3% 10.1% 11.1% 11.1% 9.6% 7.2% 6.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 5.8% 5.8% 6.7% 5.9% 6.8% 7.7% 10.8% 10.1% 14.3% 11.1% 11.0% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 5.1% 5.9% 4.5% 6.4% 8.0% 7.4% 11.9% 11.1% 11.8% 12.9% 9.8% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 7.1% 5.1% 8.5% 7.6% 11.6% 11.7% 14.5% 14.5% 6.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sara Klik 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.9% 9.3% 10.0% 11.7% 14.0% 15.9% 9.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.4% 3.7% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 6.7% 8.2% 9.6% 12.4% 15.5% 17.6% 9.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% 5.0% 7.4% 13.0% 60.0% 2.2% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% 5.0% 7.4% 13.0% 60.0% 2.2% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.8% 97.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.