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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.10vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+3.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+0.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.24+2.93vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.81-0.30vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08-1.90vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-3.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32-0.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.42-5.49vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.77-2.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.60-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Stanford University2.9314.3%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.9214.6%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University1.997.8%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont1.584.3%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.479.9%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University1.242.8%1st Place
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7.7Old Dominion University1.816.2%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.088.0%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College2.298.8%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.665.4%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.427.1%1st Place
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11.43Northwestern University0.771.8%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College1.603.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 14.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 35.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 23.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.