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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.84vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.10+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+1.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.28vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.55-0.76vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+1.11vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.78-0.89vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.56-1.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.30vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.37-2.79vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.94-2.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.35-1.17vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.35-2.17vs Predicted
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14-3.89-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.88Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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4.24Columbia University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.11Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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6.11Queen's University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.69Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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7.21Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.16SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.93-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 19.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 15.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Machum | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Can Akdurak | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 60.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 60.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| A A | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 97.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.