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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.99+5.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+5.22vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.58+3.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.42+1.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+0.57vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93-2.99vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.77+2.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.89vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.24-1.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-4.86vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-6.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32-2.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Tufts University1.997.4%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College1.604.7%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University2.4710.6%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.103.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.426.7%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University1.816.5%1st Place
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5.01Stanford University2.9313.7%1st Place
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11.29Northwestern University0.772.5%1st Place
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5.11Yale University2.9213.6%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.244.0%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.087.2%1st Place
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6.25Connecticut College2.299.8%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.321.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 23.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 34.9% |
| John Ped | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.