Race 7A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Neubelt 18.6% 19.6% 14.5% 14.0% 9.4% 9.5% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 13.6% 12.6% 14.0% 12.2% 12.9% 10.8% 8.8% 6.4% 4.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 18.3% 17.6% 14.4% 15.2% 11.2% 8.1% 6.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 5.3% 7.2% 12.4% 59.7% 2.5% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.9% 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 7.0% 7.5% 10.3% 9.5% 16.2% 18.4% 10.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 15.7% 14.6% 15.4% 11.9% 13.5% 8.4% 8.3% 5.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 5.6% 7.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.1% 13.2% 13.7% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.9% 9.0% 10.4% 10.9% 11.6% 12.3% 8.8% 8.4% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 5.1% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 11.7% 12.5% 13.1% 10.6% 5.0% 0.1% 0.0%
John Machum 8.1% 7.1% 8.1% 8.0% 10.4% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.7% 7.8% 6.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 4.2% 4.8% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% 9.5% 11.4% 11.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.4% 3.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sara Klik 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.9% 12.6% 16.3% 17.1% 7.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 5.3% 7.2% 12.4% 59.7% 2.5% 0.0%
A A 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.9% 97.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.