Race 8A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 13.7% 12.2% 14.1% 13.5% 12.2% 10.0% 10.1% 6.2% 4.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 14.4% 15.6% 13.4% 13.9% 12.7% 8.2% 8.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 3.5% 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 9.2% 8.4% 11.3% 12.7% 15.3% 13.4% 5.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 6.3% 6.7% 11.1% 9.4% 10.4% 11.7% 13.8% 11.8% 4.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 19.4% 19.1% 16.5% 11.9% 10.9% 8.4% 5.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.6% 3.9% 5.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 9.4% 9.2% 13.9% 13.5% 14.8% 8.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 3.6% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 6.1% 6.3% 8.5% 10.9% 15.5% 21.4% 9.5% 0.2% 0.0%
John Machum 7.9% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 10.8% 11.2% 11.7% 12.7% 8.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.2% 5.1% 5.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 10.7% 11.6% 10.9% 9.9% 10.1% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 19.1% 18.7% 15.9% 11.4% 10.3% 9.3% 7.1% 4.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.0% 4.5% 8.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.8% 11.7% 8.8% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 11.8% 60.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 11.8% 60.4% 2.4% 0.0%
A A 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 1.8% 97.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.