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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy1.22+5.46vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo2.44+1.31vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.78+1.93vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.40+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.35+4.66vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.95vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.10-0.32vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.55-4.94vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.37-3.01vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.56-4.71vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.61-5.52vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-0.35-2.34vs Predicted
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14-3.89-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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5.93Queen's University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.84Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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7.68Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.06Columbia University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.99Penn State University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.29Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rochester-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.93-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 22.3% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Machum | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 58.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Can Akdurak | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Chang | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 58.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| A A | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 97.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.