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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.31+3.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+2.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+3.83vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.21+3.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+1.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-4.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-2.94vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.58-4.09vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.57-5.54vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Yale University2.5512.7%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.3110.8%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University2.5512.8%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College1.956.8%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island1.776.2%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University1.693.2%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University1.213.6%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.036.9%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University2.459.8%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College1.957.3%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.6%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College1.584.5%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University1.575.3%1st Place
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11.74Northwestern University0.552.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Alex Abate | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.