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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Neubelt 22.3% 19.0% 17.0% 12.5% 11.5% 7.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.9% 4.4% 5.4% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 9.8% 12.0% 11.0% 12.5% 13.0% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 14.4% 16.3% 13.1% 14.3% 10.1% 9.3% 10.0% 5.9% 3.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 7.1% 9.0% 9.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.7% 10.0% 9.5% 10.8% 7.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.2% 5.7% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 12.3% 11.2% 9.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 4.4% 7.1% 12.9% 58.3% 2.4% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 4.8% 3.6% 4.9% 4.9% 6.6% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 11.5% 15.3% 17.3% 9.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.7% 4.4% 6.5% 4.7% 4.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.6% 11.4% 13.9% 14.6% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 17.6% 16.4% 13.5% 13.6% 11.1% 9.2% 8.3% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 7.7% 7.5% 10.3% 8.9% 11.1% 11.7% 8.7% 11.7% 5.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.0% 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 10.7% 10.7% 10.2% 11.5% 9.6% 7.5% 7.2% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Gimple 6.3% 6.1% 8.3% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.8% 11.7% 9.1% 10.4% 7.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 4.4% 7.1% 12.9% 58.3% 2.4% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 1.6% 97.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.