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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+8.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+3.27vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+2.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+3.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.31-0.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.21+3.13vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.55+3.87vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57-0.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58-1.08vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.55-5.86vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-4.73vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-5.81vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-4.04vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.7%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University2.5513.0%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.459.2%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College1.957.4%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.036.6%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University2.3112.2%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University1.213.5%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University0.551.7%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University1.575.5%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College1.583.9%1st Place
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5.14Yale University2.5512.9%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island1.777.4%1st Place
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7.19Connecticut College1.957.5%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.693.3%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont1.312.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 35.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Perham Black | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Walter Henry | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% |
| Grace Gear | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.