Race 11A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Beckmann 5.3% 3.1% 5.1% 6.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 9.4% 13.2% 11.1% 12.6% 6.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.8% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 9.3% 12.8% 10.4% 12.0% 10.2% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 22.6% 19.7% 15.5% 13.7% 8.8% 7.8% 5.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 14.8% 15.8% 13.9% 13.3% 11.5% 9.0% 8.3% 6.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 5.7% 4.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 7.7% 10.3% 9.8% 11.2% 11.5% 10.5% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 15.5% 19.2% 16.9% 12.3% 10.9% 7.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 6.1% 8.9% 10.4% 10.8% 13.9% 15.2% 7.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 4.4% 8.1% 13.7% 57.2% 1.8% 0.0%
Lindsay Gimple 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 11.4% 11.6% 10.8% 9.5% 8.8% 7.5% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 9.4% 7.2% 8.7% 10.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.9% 10.5% 7.8% 7.2% 5.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 10.2% 11.3% 9.9% 10.5% 11.0% 8.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 2.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.5% 12.4% 14.9% 16.9% 12.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 4.4% 8.1% 13.7% 57.2% 1.8% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 97.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.