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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.21+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+0.42vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.53+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.94-2.01vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.36-2.16vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.01-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.16vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.18-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
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2.42University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
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4.99Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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2.99University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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3.84Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.89Hope College-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.44Michigan Technological University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Solum | 27.3% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Kinzel | 31.1% | 27.5% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hodges | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 20.8% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 10.5% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Marian Schubert | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 12.9% | 29.8% | 44.3% |
| Glen Ko | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 31.1% | 42.6% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 20.9% | 29.0% | 19.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.