Race 12A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Conor Cashel 17.4% 16.2% 14.8% 13.8% 11.3% 9.2% 6.5% 5.8% 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 9.5% 12.2% 11.1% 12.7% 12.6% 6.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 3.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.3% 10.1% 8.3% 10.0% 8.5% 14.1% 12.2% 9.5% 4.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 3.0% 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 11.2% 12.9% 19.1% 10.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 15.8% 16.5% 14.5% 12.0% 10.6% 10.2% 7.8% 5.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 23.2% 20.6% 15.8% 12.7% 9.7% 6.8% 5.5% 2.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.8% 7.8% 11.5% 57.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.9% 7.1% 5.6% 6.7% 8.4% 11.3% 9.0% 11.7% 10.8% 11.1% 10.1% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sara Klik 4.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 11.7% 9.4% 13.5% 14.5% 9.9% 0.1% 0.0%
John Machum 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 11.0% 9.7% 10.8% 9.3% 10.3% 8.6% 7.7% 5.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Brown 6.9% 5.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.4% 10.4% 11.9% 7.4% 11.2% 9.0% 6.5% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Gimple 6.6% 5.8% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 8.6% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 8.3% 8.6% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.8% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.8% 7.8% 11.5% 57.3% 2.5% 0.0%
A A 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 2.2% 96.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.