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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+7.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+4.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+1.61vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.17vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.31+2.17vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57-0.41vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-4.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.03-3.56vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.58-2.98vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.21-2.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-4.04vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Stanford University2.5514.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.3%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island1.776.9%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University2.3112.0%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College1.957.0%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University2.4510.3%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College1.956.3%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.575.2%1st Place
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5.21Yale University2.5511.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.036.9%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College1.585.0%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University1.212.6%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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11.63Northwestern University0.551.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Perham Black | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.