Race 13A

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 14.1% 16.1% 15.1% 12.8% 10.6% 10.4% 8.2% 5.6% 4.2% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Neubelt 21.9% 20.4% 17.3% 14.0% 9.1% 7.3% 4.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Can Akdurak 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 10.4% 9.0% 10.5% 9.6% 12.0% 11.5% 9.6% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Gimple 6.2% 7.6% 7.0% 8.8% 10.8% 8.9% 9.8% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 6.2% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 7.3% 12.2% 58.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.6% 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 8.5% 10.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.1% 8.7% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Brown 7.3% 6.2% 9.2% 8.0% 7.9% 11.2% 9.7% 10.0% 11.5% 10.0% 6.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.5% 5.8% 5.1% 6.6% 6.3% 8.3% 9.5% 11.7% 11.4% 12.4% 12.1% 6.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 17.1% 17.1% 13.9% 13.4% 11.1% 9.1% 6.8% 5.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Machum 9.2% 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.4% 6.6% 5.3% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantine Spentzos 3.8% 2.3% 5.7% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 9.3% 9.0% 11.4% 13.4% 17.7% 9.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 7.3% 12.2% 58.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Sara Klik 3.5% 4.7% 3.8% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 10.9% 14.7% 18.8% 6.5% 0.1% 0.0%
A A 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 1.9% 96.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.