Race 1B

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Woloshyn 22.1% 19.1% 18.4% 13.5% 11.3% 6.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 6.8% 7.5% 10.2% 10.7% 11.4% 12.0% 12.5% 12.5% 9.4% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 10.0% 13.1% 12.7% 11.9% 12.6% 11.8% 11.8% 9.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 12.0% 12.1% 12.8% 14.4% 12.0% 11.6% 9.8% 6.9% 5.4% 2.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.5% 8.1% 10.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 14.3% 13.2% 7.5% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 20.9% 22.0% 14.1% 14.0% 10.9% 7.1% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 2.6% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 5.5% 6.3% 8.7% 15.8% 21.2% 20.4% 8.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 7.3% 12.7% 18.9% 29.5% 13.3% 1.4% 0.0%
John Shanahan 7.9% 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 12.1% 13.7% 12.4% 11.4% 9.1% 5.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 6.4% 5.0% 6.5% 8.4% 8.8% 12.4% 11.1% 14.8% 12.5% 9.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 6.9% 16.6% 19.6% 24.1% 13.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 7.3% 12.7% 18.9% 29.5% 13.3% 1.4% 0.0%
C C 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 2.4% 9.6% 84.3% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.7% 9.0% 15.3% 52.7% 12.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.