Race 2B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Margaret Meehan 8.4% 8.2% 9.4% 10.8% 10.6% 13.7% 11.6% 12.3% 8.9% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 13.0% 12.3% 13.8% 12.4% 12.7% 11.0% 9.6% 9.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 4.7% 5.7% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 11.4% 12.5% 14.0% 13.7% 9.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.3% 9.7% 10.4% 9.4% 11.5% 11.5% 12.9% 12.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 13.5% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 12.9% 11.2% 10.5% 8.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 22.3% 20.0% 16.4% 13.6% 10.1% 7.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 9.9% 8.6% 10.2% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 14.3% 12.0% 7.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsey Ludwig 17.3% 16.8% 13.5% 15.7% 13.0% 9.1% 7.2% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 4.3% 5.6% 8.2% 15.1% 21.0% 22.9% 9.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 6.1% 13.5% 20.1% 28.5% 13.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 14.2% 23.5% 21.4% 12.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 6.1% 13.5% 20.1% 28.5% 13.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 4.9% 8.0% 15.4% 52.2% 12.6% 0.0%
C C 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 1.4% 2.7% 11.1% 83.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.