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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+5.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+4.46vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+1.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.31+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.77+1.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-1.80vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+0.47vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.58-0.07vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.84vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-3.56vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.69-2.10vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.55-1.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.21-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Stanford University2.5512.9%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College1.957.2%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.037.0%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.4510.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.3111.4%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island1.778.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University2.5512.6%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.575.3%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College1.584.5%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.5%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College1.957.1%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.693.4%1st Place
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11.75Northwestern University0.551.6%1st Place
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10.18Salve Regina University1.212.8%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.312.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Alex Abate | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 31.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% |
| Grace Gear | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.