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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.77+6.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+3.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+2.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+5.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+4.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45-0.11vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+1.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03-0.49vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.58-0.23vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-2.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.31-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-1.68vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-5.90vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.21-3.75vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of Rhode Island1.776.8%1st Place
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5.06Yale University2.5514.1%1st Place
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5.24Stanford University2.5512.7%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University1.693.4%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.9%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University2.4510.2%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University1.575.3%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.035.9%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College1.584.5%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College1.957.0%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.3111.5%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont1.312.8%1st Place
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7.1Connecticut College1.957.6%1st Place
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10.25Salve Regina University1.212.2%1st Place
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11.71Northwestern University0.552.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Alex Abate | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Gear | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| Walter Henry | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.