Race 3B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Luke Miller 7.2% 8.6% 9.8% 12.0% 9.3% 13.8% 13.2% 11.8% 7.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 12.0% 12.3% 12.9% 12.6% 14.1% 11.6% 9.0% 9.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 6.2% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 11.1% 12.7% 13.6% 13.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 4.9% 6.4% 6.0% 7.0% 10.6% 11.5% 11.0% 15.8% 13.8% 9.4% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Woloshyn 24.2% 19.8% 16.2% 15.1% 9.1% 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 12.1% 11.4% 12.8% 12.7% 12.6% 11.6% 11.1% 8.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 21.1% 19.6% 17.0% 12.2% 11.9% 7.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 1.2% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 6.8% 8.8% 15.3% 22.5% 20.5% 9.4% 0.5% 0.0%
John Shanahan 8.7% 7.4% 9.1% 11.0% 11.0% 12.8% 12.5% 11.0% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.1% 1.1% 3.0% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 4.3% 6.7% 14.2% 20.0% 25.6% 14.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 14.0% 21.0% 26.1% 12.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 1.5% 4.4% 8.0% 16.2% 51.5% 13.1% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 14.0% 21.0% 26.1% 12.5% 1.3% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% 2.8% 11.0% 83.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.