Race 4B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Skord 11.6% 13.1% 13.2% 11.0% 14.4% 13.3% 10.3% 6.4% 3.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 9.0% 7.9% 10.8% 13.6% 13.7% 14.6% 8.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 6.8% 8.8% 10.4% 10.4% 10.6% 12.6% 13.0% 13.6% 8.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.3% 7.0% 9.2% 12.2% 10.3% 12.6% 13.2% 12.1% 8.7% 4.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Woloshyn 24.2% 19.4% 17.3% 12.8% 10.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 7.5% 9.1% 8.8% 11.5% 10.9% 10.4% 12.1% 14.5% 8.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 12.2% 11.1% 12.1% 11.3% 14.1% 11.5% 11.0% 9.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 20.1% 19.2% 17.1% 13.6% 12.1% 9.4% 4.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 2.6% 5.1% 6.2% 11.9% 20.1% 27.8% 14.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 4.1% 4.8% 9.3% 17.0% 22.1% 20.9% 8.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 2.4% 4.6% 4.7% 7.9% 15.7% 20.6% 23.5% 13.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 2.4% 4.6% 4.7% 7.9% 15.7% 20.6% 23.5% 13.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 2.0% 4.6% 9.1% 15.0% 51.7% 12.7% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 3.1% 10.5% 83.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.