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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+6.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+3.87vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55+8.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+1.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+4.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-0.83vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+0.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.69+1.88vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-3.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.03-2.77vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-0.87vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.58-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.77-5.71vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.57-5.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Dartmouth College1.955.9%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.4510.5%1st Place
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11.88Northwestern University0.551.4%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.3111.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.2%1st Place
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5.17Yale University2.5513.8%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College1.956.3%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University1.693.8%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University2.5514.6%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.037.6%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University1.212.9%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College1.584.2%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island1.776.7%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 33.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Wiley Rogers | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% |
| Perham Black | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.