Race 5B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Skord 11.4% 10.9% 12.3% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8% 9.4% 10.2% 5.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 21.1% 16.9% 15.8% 13.7% 13.0% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 8.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.6% 11.9% 11.2% 12.1% 8.6% 7.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 18.6% 18.0% 14.8% 14.7% 11.0% 9.6% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 10.7% 7.9% 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 11.8% 8.0% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.5% 8.7% 8.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 11.5% 12.5% 11.4% 6.7% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 10.1% 9.3% 10.7% 7.6% 11.0% 12.2% 11.1% 11.1% 9.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 12.9% 11.8% 12.1% 7.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 4.6% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 9.1% 10.2% 14.5% 16.5% 13.3% 5.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 4.5% 7.6% 20.2% 34.5% 16.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.7% 3.2% 5.9% 9.6% 23.9% 29.7% 14.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 4.5% 7.6% 20.2% 34.5% 16.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.3% 3.3% 7.7% 14.5% 55.7% 13.1% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 3.0% 11.2% 83.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.