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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+6.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+3.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+5.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+0.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.57+2.74vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.31-1.56vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95-0.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.03-1.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58-1.01vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-0.74vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.55-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-6.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Dartmouth College1.956.0%1st Place
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5.78Roger Williams University2.4510.3%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.5513.4%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.693.6%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University2.5514.4%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University1.574.4%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University2.3111.7%1st Place
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7.08Connecticut College1.957.8%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.036.2%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College1.584.2%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University1.213.8%1st Place
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11.66Northwestern University0.551.9%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.312.6%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island1.776.2%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 33.4% |
| Grace Gear | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Alex Abate | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.