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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.77+6.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+3.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+4.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.58+3.90vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+1.14vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-1.66vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+0.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.31-3.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.31+0.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-1.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.95-4.52vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.55-1.23vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.21-3.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.69-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26University of Rhode Island1.777.1%1st Place
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5.75Roger Williams University2.4510.2%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.035.5%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.5514.5%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College1.584.4%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College1.957.2%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University2.5513.0%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University1.575.1%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.3110.3%1st Place
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10.27University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.244.9%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College1.957.2%1st Place
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11.77Northwestern University0.551.7%1st Place
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10.31Salve Regina University1.213.1%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.692.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Walter Henry | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% |
| Alex Abate | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 32.9% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.