Race 6B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eric Goldfarb 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 8.5% 9.4% 8.1% 9.8% 12.0% 17.9% 12.5% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
John Shanahan 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 8.7% 11.1% 11.5% 10.9% 10.8% 12.7% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 10.4% 10.0% 12.5% 12.2% 9.9% 11.9% 11.6% 10.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 20.6% 18.7% 15.3% 13.9% 10.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.1% 12.4% 11.4% 12.4% 8.1% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 11.3% 11.8% 12.0% 11.9% 13.0% 11.1% 8.3% 10.2% 6.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.8% 7.8% 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 11.1% 11.9% 12.5% 11.0% 7.3% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 8.0% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 10.4% 12.7% 12.9% 10.6% 9.0% 6.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 18.4% 17.4% 16.6% 14.0% 10.2% 8.2% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 4.8% 7.3% 20.2% 35.0% 16.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 3.4% 2.8% 4.6% 6.0% 9.6% 23.0% 30.1% 14.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.0% 4.8% 7.3% 20.2% 35.0% 16.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 6.9% 15.8% 55.1% 13.0% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 2.8% 11.3% 83.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.