Race 7B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Bicks 10.2% 10.7% 11.5% 10.6% 12.1% 11.8% 11.3% 8.7% 7.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 21.1% 17.2% 16.7% 13.4% 12.3% 7.4% 5.3% 3.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 6.3% 8.0% 7.6% 11.0% 10.2% 9.9% 12.0% 14.4% 10.9% 7.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 10.3% 11.4% 12.3% 12.7% 10.6% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 8.7% 7.1% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 10.9% 10.3% 13.9% 12.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 8.6% 10.8% 8.5% 10.5% 12.1% 12.2% 11.5% 7.2% 12.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 6.2% 5.1% 7.1% 7.5% 5.5% 9.2% 11.5% 13.8% 15.1% 13.3% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 7.1% 8.9% 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 12.4% 12.1% 12.3% 11.5% 5.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 19.4% 18.3% 14.4% 12.3% 12.0% 8.5% 6.3% 5.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 7.4% 25.0% 29.8% 16.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 1.7% 3.3% 9.3% 18.7% 51.5% 12.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.1% 3.8% 5.5% 7.5% 20.3% 32.4% 19.0% 1.7% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.1% 3.8% 5.5% 7.5% 20.3% 32.4% 19.0% 1.7% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 2.7% 10.4% 84.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.