Race 8B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Skord 11.4% 12.3% 11.1% 10.4% 12.8% 11.4% 12.1% 8.4% 5.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 20.7% 18.7% 13.9% 14.9% 11.4% 8.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 8.8% 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 11.0% 13.7% 10.1% 9.9% 6.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 8.2% 8.3% 10.0% 10.9% 11.3% 11.5% 11.4% 9.9% 10.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 5.8% 4.8% 6.1% 8.1% 8.9% 7.0% 9.5% 14.0% 17.5% 10.9% 6.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Stansky 19.7% 18.5% 15.4% 13.6% 10.4% 8.6% 6.4% 4.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.1% 8.3% 10.2% 8.2% 8.1% 11.2% 12.4% 12.3% 11.2% 6.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 7.1% 7.5% 9.6% 8.9% 9.8% 11.2% 11.7% 13.0% 12.3% 7.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 19.9% 33.9% 18.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 7.7% 7.0% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 10.7% 12.9% 11.9% 7.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 9.8% 24.5% 28.6% 14.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 19.9% 33.9% 18.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 0.6% 3.3% 7.3% 16.9% 53.9% 13.2% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 3.0% 10.6% 84.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.