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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+7.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+3.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.21vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+1.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+1.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.69+3.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45-2.21vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.21+1.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-0.63vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.95-5.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.58-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-6.61vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.55-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Old Dominion University1.575.5%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University2.5512.4%1st Place
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5.21Yale University2.5513.3%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.3113.3%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.036.3%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College1.955.9%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.693.5%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University2.4511.1%1st Place
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10.3Salve Regina University1.212.9%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.9%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont1.312.2%1st Place
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6.94Connecticut College1.957.5%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.584.5%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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11.77Northwestern University0.551.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% |
| Alex Abate | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Grace Gear | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Walter Henry | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.