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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.21+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.94+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.37-0.59vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.36-1.18vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.53-1.00vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.01-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.95-1.15vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.18-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
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3.01University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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2.41University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
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3.82Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.0Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.91Hope College-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.44Michigan Technological University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Solum | 27.7% | 26.4% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Cummins | 20.4% | 19.6% | 22.7% | 19.9% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Kinzel | 31.5% | 26.8% | 21.6% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 23.8% | 20.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| John Hodges | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 23.2% | 24.6% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Marian Schubert | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 29.4% | 44.7% |
| Glen Ko | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 32.0% | 42.6% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 29.7% | 19.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.