Race 9B

north-spring-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Schofield 24.0% 18.7% 16.1% 13.3% 10.9% 6.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 8.6% 7.7% 11.1% 9.9% 12.2% 10.2% 10.5% 11.3% 9.2% 6.6% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 6.5% 9.3% 9.0% 10.6% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 11.5% 10.2% 7.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% 6.3% 9.5% 18.3% 32.3% 16.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 13.2% 13.7% 11.4% 10.6% 11.2% 11.6% 11.1% 7.6% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 13.3% 13.2% 14.5% 12.5% 11.8% 9.6% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 10.2% 11.2% 11.0% 11.0% 10.7% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 8.2% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 6.7% 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 11.8% 10.2% 13.9% 11.5% 8.3% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.9% 9.9% 11.0% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 7.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 6.5% 6.0% 6.1% 9.7% 7.5% 9.2% 10.9% 11.5% 14.6% 11.2% 5.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 10.1% 20.7% 30.3% 15.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 10.1% 20.7% 30.3% 15.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 0.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 7.4% 15.1% 55.2% 13.0% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 1.3% 2.7% 10.6% 84.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.