Race 10B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Schofield 25.6% 16.8% 15.9% 14.3% 10.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 12.0% 15.1% 12.1% 12.4% 11.8% 9.7% 11.3% 7.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 8.9% 10.4% 11.4% 11.0% 10.8% 10.8% 12.7% 9.7% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 11.5% 10.5% 11.6% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.4% 10.8% 9.9% 12.2% 12.0% 9.0% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 3.0% 6.3% 7.8% 17.3% 34.6% 17.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 6.1% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 13.3% 15.0% 10.6% 5.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 8.9% 10.7% 11.5% 12.1% 10.0% 10.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 12.4% 11.6% 12.7% 11.3% 11.1% 10.4% 11.1% 8.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 9.2% 10.5% 11.1% 9.4% 12.0% 8.9% 7.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 9.4% 22.8% 29.3% 14.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 8.7% 14.7% 54.7% 13.2% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 3.0% 6.3% 7.8% 17.3% 34.6% 17.6% 1.5% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 2.7% 10.8% 84.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.