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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+7.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+5.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+2.92vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.53+4.14vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.81vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38-0.90vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+0.04vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-1.49vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.08-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.59-2.88vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.45-0.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.72-1.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-11.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Old Dominion University1.594.2%1st Place
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7.31Yale University1.906.2%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.4%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.127.4%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University1.533.9%1st Place
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6.81Bowdoin College2.068.2%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.3810.4%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University1.716.0%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College1.927.0%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University2.085.6%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island1.595.1%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University0.451.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont0.722.4%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University1.313.4%1st Place
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3.76Harvard University3.0522.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Riley Read | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 36.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 25.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 22.7% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.