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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.08+6.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+1.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+4.49vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+4.56vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.92+2.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+2.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12-1.17vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-1.17vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.45+1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.38-6.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.53-3.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.59-5.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Stanford University2.086.3%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University3.0522.8%1st Place
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7.49Yale University1.905.9%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University1.594.4%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College1.926.0%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University1.313.9%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.127.3%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University1.716.2%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University0.451.7%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont0.721.8%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.389.6%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.534.2%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.595.1%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 22.8% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Will Priebe | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 36.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 24.5% |
| William Michels | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Riley Read | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Maks Groom | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.