Race 11B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Schofield 23.2% 19.2% 18.8% 11.6% 10.4% 6.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Skord 12.6% 14.5% 11.5% 12.6% 12.5% 9.6% 10.4% 7.7% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 4.9% 5.8% 6.7% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 9.4% 12.6% 16.0% 11.3% 5.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 12.3% 11.5% 11.5% 14.9% 10.0% 10.3% 8.8% 10.9% 6.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 10.3% 9.3% 9.5% 9.6% 11.0% 9.0% 12.5% 11.4% 8.4% 7.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 8.9% 9.5% 9.5% 9.9% 11.7% 11.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.7% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 9.2% 9.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 12.2% 10.7% 10.0% 11.0% 6.5% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 9.9% 10.3% 12.0% 10.0% 11.1% 11.6% 11.2% 10.1% 8.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 12.0% 11.3% 10.8% 12.6% 10.6% 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 7.1% 15.5% 54.0% 11.9% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 6.1% 10.4% 21.3% 29.3% 14.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 4.6% 8.4% 17.7% 33.7% 18.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 4.6% 8.4% 17.7% 33.7% 18.8% 1.5% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 2.9% 10.2% 84.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.