Race 12B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Skord 12.9% 12.9% 12.8% 12.3% 12.0% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 4.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 25.4% 17.7% 16.3% 12.9% 11.4% 6.8% 5.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 10.8% 12.7% 12.9% 11.1% 11.5% 12.5% 11.1% 7.2% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 6.3% 7.6% 6.9% 9.3% 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 11.9% 12.6% 10.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 6.2% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 9.5% 8.1% 9.1% 13.9% 15.3% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.6% 9.7% 8.7% 11.4% 9.7% 11.7% 11.9% 9.0% 10.2% 6.9% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 10.7% 11.4% 10.9% 9.6% 12.0% 10.9% 9.4% 11.0% 8.2% 4.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 7.9% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 10.6% 12.7% 11.9% 10.5% 5.0% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Shanahan 8.8% 8.4% 9.9% 11.2% 9.3% 11.2% 11.3% 10.4% 9.6% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 0.9% 1.5% 3.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 5.2% 9.1% 21.7% 29.3% 16.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 2.1% 3.4% 9.1% 18.3% 51.2% 12.0% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 6.2% 7.7% 19.2% 31.8% 18.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 3.6% 6.2% 7.7% 19.2% 31.8% 18.9% 1.7% 0.0%
C C 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 2.7% 10.4% 84.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.