Race 13B

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Skord 12.8% 13.1% 13.4% 11.7% 11.1% 11.2% 11.6% 6.6% 5.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schofield 25.0% 18.5% 16.7% 12.8% 9.0% 9.0% 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.2% 9.4% 9.0% 11.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.7% 12.2% 10.1% 6.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Goldfarb 5.0% 6.5% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 16.2% 12.1% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.9% 5.4% 8.7% 19.2% 31.4% 17.5% 1.8% 0.0%
John Shanahan 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 11.3% 9.5% 11.8% 11.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 8.7% 9.4% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 12.1% 10.8% 11.6% 10.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 6.4% 8.1% 6.7% 9.1% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 11.7% 14.3% 7.2% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Gray 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 7.1% 15.6% 54.1% 12.4% 0.0%
Heather Grosso 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 5.9% 8.0% 22.3% 31.3% 14.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 10.9% 10.8% 11.5% 11.3% 12.5% 10.8% 9.9% 9.3% 6.3% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
C C 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 2.8% 10.2% 84.2% 0.0%
Thomas Barton 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.9% 5.4% 8.7% 19.2% 31.4% 17.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 11.6% 11.3% 11.3% 12.5% 13.3% 10.4% 9.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.