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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+5.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+3.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+5.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05-1.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72+4.43vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.53+1.13vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.08-1.42vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.89vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-2.99vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.45+0.14vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-4.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.55vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.90-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Tufts University2.127.8%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.389.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.594.7%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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3.87Harvard University3.0520.5%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College1.927.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.534.4%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University2.086.0%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.2%1st Place
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8.01Northeastern University1.716.8%1st Place
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12.14Northwestern University0.451.8%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University1.593.9%1st Place
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9.45Salve Regina University1.314.0%1st Place
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7.49Yale University1.906.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Davis | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
William Michels | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Ben Rosenberg | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 20.5% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
CJ Mckenna | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 25.7% |
Riley Read | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
Stephanie Houck | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Maks Groom | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Will Priebe | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Nikolas Chambers | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 37.7% |
Andrew Ciszewski | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
Nathan Sih | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.