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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.92+6.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.08+5.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+3.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.53+5.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+0.80vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+2.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05-4.10vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-1.56vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-3.11vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.59-4.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-5.94vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.45-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Connecticut College1.926.7%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University2.085.2%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.128.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University1.533.9%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.3811.3%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University1.594.6%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.7%1st Place
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3.9Harvard University3.0520.3%1st Place
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7.44Yale University1.907.0%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
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9.45Salve Regina University1.313.8%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island1.595.4%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.715.8%1st Place
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12.01Northwestern University0.451.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Riley Read | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| William Michels | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Maks Groom | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 20.3% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 22.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Will Priebe | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.