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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+4.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.75vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+0.87vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-0.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97+3.79vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-2.89vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.02vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-0.94vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.79vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.91vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-2.00vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.47Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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12.79Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.02SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.0Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.74Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 19.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 7.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 10.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 25.4% | 18.4% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.