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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+5.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+3.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+3.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+3.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.87+5.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.59+0.30vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-0.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-1.94vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.08-3.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-4.37vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.45-1.05vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Tufts University2.128.5%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.3810.6%1st Place
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6.69Bowdoin College2.068.8%1st Place
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7.33Yale University1.906.0%1st Place
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3.81Harvard University3.0521.2%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University1.534.2%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island1.595.3%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University1.594.6%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.714.9%1st Place
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7.65Stanford University2.086.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University0.451.6%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University1.313.2%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| Riley Read | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Will Priebe | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 37.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.