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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+4.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+2.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05-0.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.96vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+1.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-0.79vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.53-0.69vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-3.84vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-2.11vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.08-6.30vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.45-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Yale University1.907.7%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University2.128.7%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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3.85Harvard University3.0521.6%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.067.8%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College1.926.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.8%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University1.595.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.595.2%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University1.533.7%1st Place
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9.47Salve Regina University1.313.2%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.715.2%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University2.085.6%1st Place
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11.99Northwestern University0.451.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.6% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Maks Groom | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Riley Read | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Will Priebe | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.