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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+2.25vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+3.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+2.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.10vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-0.93vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-2.14vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97+0.69vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.05vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.51-3.93vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-1.97vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.25Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.07Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.69Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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14.03Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.76Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 18.7% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 8.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 7.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 27.2% | 18.5% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.