← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.37+1.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota2.21-0.39vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University1.36-0.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.94-2.00vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.53-1.00vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University0.18-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-1.01-1.06vs Predicted
-
9University of Illinois-0.95-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
-
2.61University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
-
3.81Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
-
5.0Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.47Michigan Technological University0.180.0%1st Place
-
6.94Hope College-1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.8University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 32.8% | 27.2% | 20.0% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Braden Solum | 25.4% | 27.7% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 11.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Mary Cummins | 19.7% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Hodges | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 3.4% |
| Brendan Wolohan | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 28.6% | 19.8% | 8.7% |
| Marian Schubert | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 27.1% | 48.3% |
| Glen Ko | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 32.0% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.