← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.08+6.74vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.90+5.36vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.38+2.85vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.05-0.28vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.12+1.89vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.06+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.53+2.22vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.92-0.39vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.74vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.45+2.32vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.31-1.48vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.71-4.04vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.59-4.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.72-2.86vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.59-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.74Stanford University2.086.0%1st Place
-
7.36Yale University1.906.3%1st Place
-
5.85Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
-
3.72Harvard University3.0521.7%1st Place
-
6.89Tufts University2.127.6%1st Place
-
6.87Bowdoin College2.066.9%1st Place
-
9.22Roger Williams University1.534.1%1st Place
-
7.61Connecticut College1.926.7%1st Place
-
7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.5%1st Place
-
12.32Northwestern University0.450.8%1st Place
-
9.52Salve Regina University1.314.4%1st Place
-
7.96Northeastern University1.715.1%1st Place
-
8.29University of Rhode Island1.595.1%1st Place
-
11.14University of Vermont0.722.1%1st Place
-
8.24Old Dominion University1.595.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.7% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Riley Read | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 38.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| Will Priebe | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 23.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.