← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+3.20vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.78+4.66vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.12+2.64vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.36vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.44+2.78vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.64+1.38vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.97+5.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.72vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.14vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.03vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.88vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.51-0.91vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.79-6.19vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.47-6.15vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University0.55+0.60vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.99vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University1.47-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.2Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
6.66Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
5.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
7.78Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.38Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
12.63Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.14SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.09George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
6.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.85Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
15.6Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
14.04Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 10.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 16.7% | 58.1% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 27.0% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.