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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.32vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+7.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+3.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.53+5.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+3.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-2.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.08+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.59+0.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-1.14vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-4.11vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-3.14vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-5.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.66vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.72-2.67vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.45-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Yale University1.906.5%1st Place
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9.63Salve Regina University1.313.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.127.5%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University1.533.9%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University1.594.2%1st Place
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3.76Harvard University3.0521.9%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University2.086.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.596.1%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.717.4%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.3810.4%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.068.3%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.8%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont0.722.1%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University0.451.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Riley Read | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Will Priebe | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| William Michels | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 26.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.