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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+2.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+3.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72+8.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+3.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+1.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.75vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.17+5.43vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.08-0.44vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-1.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.59-3.84vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.71vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.53-5.05vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Harvard University3.0521.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont0.722.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.905.6%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University2.127.5%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.068.1%1st Place
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12.43Northwestern University0.171.1%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University2.085.9%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College1.926.2%1st Place
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9.61Salve Regina University1.313.8%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University1.715.9%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island1.595.7%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.9%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.535.0%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University1.595.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 23.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 42.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Will Priebe | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Maks Groom | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Riley Read | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.