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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.40vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+0.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-4.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.88vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97+0.63vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.01vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-2.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-8.30vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-2.01vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.63Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.99Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.75Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 6.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 11.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 17.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.