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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+3.87vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+4.63vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.08+3.56vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.72+3.23vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59-0.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.53-0.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.71-3.01vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17+0.39vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-6.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.68vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Yale University1.907.7%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College1.924.9%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University2.086.5%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.067.6%1st Place
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3.84Harvard University3.0521.6%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.595.7%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont0.722.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University1.594.7%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University1.533.4%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.715.5%1st Place
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12.39Northwestern University0.171.3%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.2%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 21.6% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 22.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Riley Read | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Will Priebe | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 43.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.