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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.19vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+3.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.89vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+2.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-1.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-1.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.11vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-5.36vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.79vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.77+0.05vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-1.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.12vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.55-0.36vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.47-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.58Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.05George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.63Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.86Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 20.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 8.3% |
| Jay Spector | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 9.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 7.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 55.8% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 24.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.