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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+5.91vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+7.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+3.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+4.52vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.77+3.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.26+2.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-2.69vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.01+1.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-1.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-2.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.37-2.72vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.02+0.61vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.43-1.39vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.34-5.79vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.36-6.71vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.51-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91North Carolina State University1.789.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University1.424.4%1st Place
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6.15Yale University2.1811.5%1st Place
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8.52Boston College1.565.8%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University1.775.5%1st Place
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8.9Boston University1.394.5%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island1.264.3%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College2.3815.0%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University1.014.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University1.725.4%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.0%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College1.375.5%1st Place
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13.61Salve Regina University-0.021.5%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College0.432.2%1st Place
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9.21Eckerd College1.345.2%1st Place
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9.29Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.516.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Macken | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| William Bedford | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 36.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.5% |
| matthew Monts | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.