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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+5.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.92vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+6.00vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-2.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47-1.13vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.79vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-4.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.21vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-0.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.98vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-8.43vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-2.12vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.52University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.0George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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6.71Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.55Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.88Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 9.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.9% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 7.6% |
| Raul Rios | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 8.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 8.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 15.9% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.