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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+4.98vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+3.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.89vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+2.59vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-0.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47-0.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-2.25vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.91vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.19vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77+1.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.08vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-2.52vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-2.14vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.56Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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13.04George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.92SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.48Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.86Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.66Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 20.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jay Spector | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 9.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 9.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 6.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 23.9% | 16.6% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.