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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.77+7.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+4.86vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.37+6.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+1.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+2.85vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36+2.29vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-2.79vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39-0.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-1.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.43+1.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.01-1.53vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.56-4.71vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.34-4.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.26-5.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-7.61vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.02-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Harvard University1.775.2%1st Place
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6.86North Carolina State University1.789.2%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College1.374.5%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.725.9%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.1811.8%1st Place
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8.85Brown University1.425.2%1st Place
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9.29Boston College1.364.4%1st Place
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5.21Bowdoin College2.3815.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.394.7%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College0.432.0%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University1.013.5%1st Place
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8.29Boston College1.565.9%1st Place
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9.38Eckerd College1.344.7%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.264.5%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University-0.021.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Jed Bell | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Nick Budington | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| matthew Monts | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.