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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.77+7.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.01+8.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.42+5.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.31vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+2.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.18-1.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38-2.68vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.37+0.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.55vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-2.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-3.16vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.34-3.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.02-0.46vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.43-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.26-6.84vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.36-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Harvard University1.776.6%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University1.013.8%1st Place
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8.94Brown University1.425.3%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.726.3%1st Place
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7.2North Carolina State University1.788.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University1.394.8%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.1811.2%1st Place
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5.32Bowdoin College2.3813.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College1.374.9%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.5%1st Place
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8.61Boston College1.565.7%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University1.515.5%1st Place
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9.35Eckerd College1.345.3%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University-0.021.2%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island1.266.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Connor Macken | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Jed Bell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Adam Larson | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Nick Budington | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| matthew Monts | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 34.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.