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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.26vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+2.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+0.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-0.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.82vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.96vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-6.21vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.68vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-1.08vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-3.23vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.96SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.92Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.77Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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15.75Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 19.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 28.0% | 18.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 8.1% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.