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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+6.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+3.87vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.37+6.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+1.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+3.34vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.77+2.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.01+3.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.26+1.53vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.02+4.43vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.34-0.72vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.36-1.76vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.56-3.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.43vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.42-5.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.43-2.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.51-7.08vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.39-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18North Carolina State University1.788.0%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.1811.4%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College1.375.2%1st Place
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5.33Bowdoin College2.3814.4%1st Place
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8.34Brown University1.726.4%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University1.775.9%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University1.013.8%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.264.3%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University-0.021.4%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College1.345.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston College1.364.8%1st Place
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8.35Boston College1.566.6%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.2%1st Place
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8.98Brown University1.425.3%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.515.4%1st Place
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8.84Boston University1.395.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 36.5% |
| matthew Monts | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Nick Budington | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Macken | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 24.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.