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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+2.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+4.87vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+3.39vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.87+7.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.00vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+0.49vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51+2.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.44-1.24vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.50vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-5.52vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.05vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.70-4.79vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.47-2.07vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.68SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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12.5Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.93Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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15.68Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 21.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 8.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 6.9% |
| Raul Rios | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 27.5% | 18.4% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.