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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+5.87vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+7.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+5.59vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+5.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+0.30vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.34+3.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.77+1.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-1.92vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.01+1.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-2.57vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-3.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43-0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.26-4.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-6.49vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.02-2.43vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.42-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87North Carolina State University1.789.6%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College1.374.8%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.726.2%1st Place
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9.06Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College2.3813.7%1st Place
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9.24Eckerd College1.345.6%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University1.775.4%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.1810.9%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University1.013.4%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University1.515.6%1st Place
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8.43Boston College1.565.8%1st Place
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8.69Boston University1.396.1%1st Place
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12.68Connecticut College0.431.6%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island1.264.2%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.5%1st Place
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13.57Salve Regina University-0.021.6%1st Place
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9.0Brown University1.425.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Nick Budington | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 23.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 36.0% |
| Connor Macken | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.