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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+5.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+7.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.77+5.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.34vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+0.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.37+3.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.56+1.53vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-0.98vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.26-0.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-2.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-3.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.36-3.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.02-0.49vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.01-4.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-7.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.43-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Yale University2.1811.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University1.425.8%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University1.775.5%1st Place
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8.34Brown University1.726.9%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College2.3813.6%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College1.375.5%1st Place
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8.53Boston College1.565.9%1st Place
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7.02North Carolina State University1.788.1%1st Place
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9.19Eckerd College1.344.4%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island1.265.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University1.395.1%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston College1.364.7%1st Place
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13.51Salve Regina University-0.021.7%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University1.013.4%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.0%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College0.432.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Macken | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Nick Budington | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Adam Larson | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| matthew Monts | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 34.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.