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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+4.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+4.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.83vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+3.17vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.17vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-1.64vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-4.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.71+1.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.30vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.73vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-4.27vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.24-3.96vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.11-0.50vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.57Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.04SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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15.5Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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16.45Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 12.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 29.0% | 13.2% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Peck | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 50.6% | 25.7% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 20.5% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.