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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.99vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.99+5.03vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.41-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.71+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.42+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.69-2.45vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.47-2.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.52vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-2.47vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-6.13vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.59-0.27vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.86-0.21vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.91-1.48vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09-2.17vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.41-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Stanford University2.7225.6%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.1%1st Place
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8.03Arizona State University0.994.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.4118.4%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley0.863.4%1st Place
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6.24University of Southern California1.718.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at San Diego0.421.9%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.698.8%1st Place
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6.98San Diego State University1.475.6%1st Place
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11.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.4%1st Place
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8.53California State University Channel Islands0.823.8%1st Place
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5.87California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.4%1st Place
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12.73Santa Clara University-0.590.7%1st Place
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13.79San Diego State University-0.860.4%1st Place
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13.52San Diego State University-0.910.5%1st Place
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13.83Arizona State University-1.090.4%1st Place
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14.61Arizona State University-1.410.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 25.6% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| Juan Alcala | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.