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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+8.12vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.39+5.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+4.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18+0.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.56+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.26+1.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.01+1.54vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.37-0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-2.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.02+1.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.51-5.28vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.77-6.21vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.43-3.50vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.36-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Brown University1.425.7%1st Place
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6.97North Carolina State University1.788.5%1st Place
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8.92Boston University1.395.2%1st Place
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5.24Bowdoin College2.3814.1%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College1.345.3%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.1811.5%1st Place
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8.49Boston College1.565.8%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.264.3%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University1.014.0%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College1.374.7%1st Place
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8.44Brown University1.726.8%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University-0.021.7%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.9%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.514.9%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University1.775.3%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College0.432.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston College1.364.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Macken | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Adam Larson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| William Bedford | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 35.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 22.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.